Journal article
Quantitative estimates of anthropogenic contributions to extreme national and State monthly, seasonal and annual average temperatures for Australia
SC Lewis, DJ Karoly, M Yu
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal | AUSTRALIAN BUREAU METEOROLOGY | Published : 2014
DOI: 10.22499/2.6403.004
Abstract
Extreme event attribution studies can provide valuable information for assessing the risks and costs of future climate change. However, the utility of such information for adaptive decision-making depends on reliable information being provided in a timely manner. Here, we present pre-computed Fraction of Attributable Risk (FAR) tables for various Australian temperature records, as an estimate of the change in likelihood of exceeding defined temperature thresholds that can be attributed to anthropogenic influences, such as long-lived greenhouse gases. Australian and State-based area-average mean, maximum and minimum temperature anomalies are considered. The likelihoods of extreme annual, seas..
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Grants
Awarded by Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science
Funding Acknowledgements
This research was supported by funding from the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (grant CE 110001028). The computation for this work was performed at the NCI National Facility at the ANU. We also acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for CMIP, and we thank climate modelling groups for producing and making available their model output. For CMIP, the U.S. Department of Energy's Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison provides coordinating support and led development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals.